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9/9/10
olympia.gr
Θυμάστε τα SWAPS της
Goldman Sachs?
The bondholder
Ξαναβγήκαν
στο προσκήνιο. Σε σημερινό άρθρο στο Bloomberg η EURO
STAT εκμυστηρεύτηκε ότι δε
ν
ξέρει το πραγματικό χρέος της Ελλάδος γιατί « ακόμα δεν
έλαβε τα συμβόλαια των swaps από την κυβέρνηση» Αν
θυμάστε τα είχαν ζητήσει τον Φεβρουάριο αλλά έλλειπε ο
κόσμος και θα τα έδιναν την επόμενη εβδομάδα. Ακόμα
περιμένουν.
Κάποια διαμάντια από το άρθρο
- η Goldman Sachs ήταν η αρχή
- Μιλεί ο Στουρνάρας που ήταν ένας από τους
αρχιτέκτονες του swap
- Τον Οκτώβριο θα γίνουν όλα γνωστά
- Τα spreads θα είναι ψηλά γιατί δεν μας
εμπιστεύονται
- Θα γίνει αναδιάρθρωση του χρέους
Δηλαδή όλα πάνε στις τράπεζες και τα 110 και όταν
τελειώσουν έχουμε αναδιάρθρωση του χρέους. Μια τρύπα στο
νερό.
Έχω
βάλει αποσπάσματα του άρθρου παρακάτω και το ολόκληρο
άρθρο είναι στην ιστοσελίδα
Καλό
σας βράδυ.
ΥΠ Τι
μ*&&*ια ήταν αυτά της Εθνικής σήμερα. Όλοι περιμένουν
συγχωνεύσεις και αυτοί είπαν «δεν είναι στους
σχεδιασμούς μας». Ταβάνι τα spread. Φυσικό είναι. Χωρίς
συγχωνεύσεις τα 110 δεν φτάνουν. Και ναι μαζεύουν λεφτά
για να έχουν κεφάλαια – τώρα θα σκάσουν κάτι φούσκες που
ίδιοι γέμισαν με αέρα. Κανένα οίκτο.
EU Probes
Hidden Greek Deals as 400% Yield Gap Shows Doubt
Four months after the 110
billion- euro ($140 billion) bailout for Greece, the
nation still hasn’t disclosed the full details of secret
financial transactions it used to conceal debt.
“We have not seen the
real documents,”
Walter Radermacher,
head of the European Union’s statistics agency Eurostat,
said in a Sept. 2 interview in his Luxembourg office.
Eurostat first requested the contracts in
February.
Signed in 2000 and 2001, the
Goldman swaps reduced the country’s foreign denominated
debt in euro terms by 2.367 billion euros and lowered
debt as a proportion of GDP to 103.7 percent from 105.3
percent, according to a Feb. 21 statement by Goldman.
The problem is that such
contracts rely on an estimate that the future debt will
be lower or economic activity much greater, allowing a
country to meet higher payments, said
Yannis Stournaras,
director general of the Foundation for Economic and
Industrial Research in Athens. He was chairman of
Greece’s Council of Economic Advisors from 1994 through
2000.
“There are more, or even many,
of this kind of swap operation, which we have to
clarify,” said Radermacher, the former president of the
German Federal Statistics Office who was appointed as
the EU’s chief statistician in April 2008. “The Goldman
Sachs
case
was the beginning.”
Radermacher vows new toughness
when officials from his staff head to Greece this month
to come up with a “solid estimate” of the total value of
debt hidden by the opaque contracts. “This is a new
era,” he said.
Finance Minister
George Papaconstantinou
said in an interview today. The statistics agency became
independent from the finance ministry this year.
There is “a clear political
will for full transparency in everything,” he said.
“There is a clear and complete break with past
practices.”
The transition to providing
full and accurate data has been slow, according to
Radermacher.
The EU’s statistics agency for
months got partial responses to requests for complete
records on the country’s use of swaps. Eurostat still
doesn’t know the full number of contracts Greece signed
that used historical or other non-market interest or
currency rates. Nor does it know the total amount of
debt covered by those transactions or the effect on the
country’s debt-to-GDP ratio.
Greece’s statistics office
blamed the delay in answers on a lack of staff and
expertise in the field, said Eurostat officials.
Investors still don’t trust
Greece. They demand yields more than five times that of
Germany to hold 10-year Greek debt – a sign that buyers
fear the country will have to reorganize its borrowing.
“I think restructuring will be
a necessary part of them pulling out of the predicament
they are in,”
Andrew Bosomworth,
Munich-based head of portfolio management at Pacific
Investment Management Co., which oversees the world’s
largest bond fund. He cited the projection of the
International Monetary Fund, which foresees Greece’s
debt topping out
149 percent
of gross domestic product in 2012. Italy in May
estimated that its debt would be
117.2 percent
of economic output in 2012.
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Tαρπον Σπριγκς Φλοριδα.
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